Expected Disney Stock Move on August 5 Earnings

Bloomberg‑compiled options data indicates that Walt Disney Co. (DIS) shares may experience a 6.3% price swing when the company releases its earnings report on August 5, prior to market opening.

Historical Options Accuracy

The options market has correctly forecasted Disney’s stock movement in three of the last eight earnings announcements. Notable historical instances include:

  • May 6, 2025: implied move 6.8% versus actual change 6.5% (up).
  • February 2, 2025: implied move 6.1% versus actual decline 5.9%.
  • November 13, 2025: implied move 5.8% versus actual decline 3.4%.
  • August 6, 2025: implied move 5.6% versus actual decline 4.0%.
  • May 7, 2025: implied move 6.4% versus actual rise 12.0%.
  • February 5, 2025: implied move 6.4% versus actual decline 1.4%.
  • November 14, 2024: implied move 7.1% versus actual rise 10.3%.
  • August 7, 2024: implied move 6.5% versus actual decline 8.3%.

These figures illustrate a mixed track record, with the options market over‑estimating direction in several cases while accurately gauging magnitude in others.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor.