Marriott International Earnings Implied Move

Bloomberg‑compiled options data suggest that Marriott International Inc. (NASDAQ: MAR) shares could experience a 3.9% price movement when the company releases its earnings on August 3, 2026, before the market opens. This implied move is derived from the pricing of near‑term options and reflects market expectations of volatility surrounding the earnings announcement.

Historical Implied vs. Actual Moves

  • May 6, 2026 – Implied move 4.3%; actual price change 0.2%.
  • February 10, 2026 – Implied move 4.8%; actual price change +12.5%.
  • November 4, 2025 – Implied move 3.7%; actual price change 0.4%.
  • August 5, 2025 – Implied move 3.6%; actual price change ‑5.8% (stock fell).
  • May 6, 2025 – Implied move 4.1%; actual price change +6.3%.
  • February 11, 2025 – Implied move 3.1%; actual price change ‑0.8%.
  • November 4, 2024 – Implied move 4.2%; actual price change ‑2.2%.
  • July 31, 2024 – Implied move 3.8%; actual price change ‑6.2%.

Across these eight earnings releases, the stock price moved more than the amount suggested by options in four instances, indicating that the implied volatility sometimes underestimates actual market reaction.

Context and Source

The article was generated with AI assistance and subsequently reviewed by an editor, as noted in the footer. No regulatory or compliance actions are mentioned.

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