Overview
Bloomberg’s options data indicate that PulteGroup Inc. (PHM) shares may move approximately 4.8% when the company releases its earnings report on July 22 before the market opens. The projection is derived from implied volatility in the options market.
Historical Accuracy of Implied Moves
The stock’s actual price changes have exceeded the options‑based implied moves in five of the last eight earnings announcements. Specific historical comparisons are:
- In April, the share price rose 8.1% while the implied move was 5.2%.
- In January, the stock fell 2.1% against an implied decline of 3.7%.
- In July 2025, the price increased 7.4% versus a 4.6% implied move.
- In the preceding April, shares rose 5.7% compared with a 1.7% implied move.
- In October 2024, the stock declined 6.1% while options suggested a 4.8% decline.
- In the July prior to that, the share price rose 8.1% against an implied rise of 3.6%.
These figures illustrate a tendency for the actual price reaction to be larger than the options‑derived expectations.
Source Note
The article was generated with AI assistance and reviewed by an editor, as noted in the footer.