MongoDB Inc. will release quarterly earnings on May 28 after market close, with options data suggesting up to a 15% move.
Historical patterns show actual price swings have often exceeded implied volatility, ranging from 9.8% to 34.7% over the past two years.
The March 2 earnings saw shares fall 26.7% versus a 15.6% implied move; December 2025 rose 25.2% versus 13.8% implied.
The biggest swing occurred in May 2024, when shares dropped 34.7% despite a 12.4% implied move.