IMF warns Middle East conflict will widen economic gaps across Latin America and Caribbean, helping oil exporters but hurting tourism economies.
IMF projects Latin America & Caribbean growth at 2.3% in 2026, rising to 2.7% in 2027; Brazil 1.9% and Mexico 1.6% in 2026.
Oil prices, up ~45% YTD 2026, fell over 10% after Iran announced Strait of Hormuz reopening, highlighting war‑driven commodity volatility.
IMF notes even oil‑exporting nations will see households face higher fuel and food costs despite improved public finances.