CIA analysis says Iran can endure U.S. naval blockade for three to four months, contradicting collapse predictions.
Iran retains about 75% of pre‑war mobile launcher inventory and roughly 70% of missile stockpiles, with repaired missiles and recovered underground storage.
President Trump claimed Iran’s economy is collapsing and missiles decimated, but U.S. intelligence suggests greater resilience and a more radicalised leadership.
Officials note historically similar regimes have lasted years under sustained embargoes and air‑only wars.