PIMCO CIO Daniel Ivascyn says central banks may tighten policy if long‑dated inflation expectations become unanchored, despite economic weakness.
Treasury breakeven rates hit three‑year highs after oil price surge from a US attack on Iran, pushing 30‑year yields to 2007 levels.
Swap markets nearly price a 0.25% Fed rate hike by year‑end, while equities and credit remain resilient amid rising inflation worries.
Ivascyn notes PIMCO’s $2.3 trillion assets and suggests high‑quality fixed‑income portfolios can still yield 6‑7% despite tightening risks.