Poland Projects 3.6% GDP Growth in 2026

Poland's Ministry of Finance forecasts real GDP growth of 3.6% for 2026 under baseline scenario.
Government deficit is projected to fall 0.5 percentage points to 6.8% of GDP in 2026.
Public debt-to-GDP ratio expected to rise to 65.1% in 2026, up from 59.7% in 2025.
Main risk identified is the Middle East war’s impact on Poland’s economy and neighboring regions.