Extracted Insight

  • At 16:35 ET (20:35 GMT) the U.S. Dollar Index fell 0.1 % to 99.95, down from a two‑month high of 100.21 recorded the previous session.
  • Markets are awaiting the May U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on Wednesday and the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday.
  • The median CPI forecast is 4.2 % YoY – the highest since April 2023 (37‑month high) – while core CPI is expected around 2.9 %, the strongest since September 2023.
  • Interactive Brokers senior economist José Torres notes a 69 % probability that the Federal Reserve will raise rates by at least 25 basis points sometime this year.
  • President Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that the United States will respond to Iran’s alleged shooting down of a U.S. Apache helicopter, reducing optimism about a Washington‑Tehran peace deal.
  • Bank Indonesia unexpectedly lifted its benchmark policy rate by 25 bps to 5.50 %, prompting the rupiah to gain more than 1 % against the dollar – its biggest daily rise in over a year.
  • The euro edged higher as investors price in a likely 0.25 % ECB rate hike on Thursday; the Japanese yen weakened past the 160 per dollar level, a threshold that has previously triggered intervention.