US and Iran agreed to a conditional two‑week ceasefire, with Trump suspending attacks on Iranian infrastructure pending Hormuz reopening.
Strategist Adam Crisafulli outlined eight reasons the truce will hold, citing limited US escalation options and achieved strategic goals.
He warned of a “significant stagflationary pulse” in the global economy and noted dwindling US military readiness and congressional funding appetite.
Internal White House opposition, falling Republican poll numbers and reduced supplemental funding request of $80‑$100 billion versus >$200 billion further lower cease‑fire risks.